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Current Events


Ranco provides this page to provide information on current events that may affect oil pricing, for better or for worse, now and in the near future.

Oil prices rising in Winter of 2010

Current Events Affecting Oil Prices

Oil prices boosted by frigid weather

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Crude futures are higher Monday, trading above $81 a barrel, bolstered by frigid temperatures across much of the northern hemisphere. Light, sweet crude for February delivery recently traded $1.93, or 2.4%, higher at $81.29 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude on the ICE futures exchange traded $1.91, or 2.5%, higher at $79.84 a barrel.

The U.S. and Europe are experiencing a prolonged cold snap, lifting heating oil demand, while parts of Asia are also facing chilly weather. China is expected to see some of the lowest temperatures in decades over the next few days, the AFP reported. .

Source: London AFP article of January 4, 2010

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Crude Oil Prices Expected to Drop in January

Jan. 7 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil fell in New York, snapping 10 days of gains, on concern the current rally is unsustainable after a U.S. government report yesterday showed an unexpected increase in stockpiles. Traders are selling contracts to lock in gains from the 15 percent climb in crude prices since Dec. 21. The Energy Department said crude oil inventories rose 1.3 million barrels last week. Inventories were forecast to fall, according to a Bloomberg News survey.

“When you get these rallies, sometimes the market just needs to catch its breath,” said Clarence Chu, a trader with options dealers Hudson Capital Energy in Singapore. “I don’t think this rally is sustainable. Fundamentally the support just isn’t there; we should be back below $80.” Oil for February delivery declined as much as 53 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $82.65 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was at $82.75 a barrel at 11:41 Singapore time. .

Source: Bloomberg Energy published January 7, 2010

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Summary and Comment by Ranco

Conflicting pressures have resulted in unpredictable prices for the near future. While rising prices are likely for the remainder of the heating season, these rises will be mitigated to some degree by downward trends in economic activities. Anticipating rises through the winter, Ranco purchased a full season supply of oil futures before December 2009, and thus, we will not be affected by price increases for the remainder of 2010. Oil delivery companies that have not purchased futures will be hurt by high rack prices through the winter.

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